Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.229132 0.271168 0.316061 0.367296 0.423874 0.484179 0.553050
2024-10-20 0.168690 0.224298 0.288103 0.365614 0.456130 0.557455 0.678405
2024-10-27 0.131430 0.195492 0.274058 0.374851 0.498141 0.641616 0.818748
2024-11-03 0.104637 0.173852 0.264295 0.386172 0.541324 0.727784 0.964307
2024-11-10 0.084072 0.156072 0.256103 0.397130 0.583097 0.812827 1.110884
2024-11-17 0.063193 0.133250 0.237406 0.391375 0.601759 0.868752 1.222717
2024-11-24 0.049896 0.118914 0.228148 0.396476 0.633500 0.941049 1.355938
2024-12-01 0.037219 0.102314 0.212793 0.390725 0.649122 0.991931 1.462359
2024-12-08 0.025934 0.084757 0.192947 0.375776 0.650024 1.022224 1.541832
2024-12-15 0.020606 0.077520 0.188910 0.383911 0.683230 1.095924 1.678874
2024-12-22 0.014517 0.066176 0.175730 0.376023 0.692025 1.135844 1.771316
2024-12-29 0.012303 0.063746 0.178524 0.393953 0.739382 1.229756 1.937357
2025-01-05 0.008847 0.056342 0.170832 0.394124 0.760524 1.288548 2.058743
2025-01-12 0.006331 0.050302 0.164815 0.396456 0.784764 1.352069 2.187633
2025-01-19 0.004901 0.047218 0.164558 0.408751 0.824798 1.438890 2.349899
2025-01-26 0.003811 0.044703 0.165108 0.422327 0.867051 1.529513 2.518576
2025-02-02 0.002899 0.042195 0.165228 0.434941 0.907952 1.618765 2.686491
2025-02-09 0.001711 0.036414 0.156220 0.429407 0.918770 1.663711 2.792660
2025-02-16 0.001111 0.033275 0.153276 0.435196 0.948191 1.736500 2.938859
2025-02-23 0.000546 0.028534 0.144877 0.429286 0.957473 1.779003 3.042301
2025-03-02 0.000168 0.022935 0.132318 0.413475 0.948847 1.793786 3.105798
2025-03-09 0.000078 0.021300 0.131518 0.422231 0.982786 1.873876 3.264181
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.017715 0.123193 0.413863 0.986127 1.906661 3.354121